Why the Tories have done so well in England

One answer. Immigration.  If anyone pretends that this Election, at root, for a majority of people was about anything else, either a) they are lying  b) they are dumb.  Or not so much about immigration as anti-immigrant sentiment.   Listen on a high street near you about 'all them [Poles] [please complete as appropriate] and you can't go anywhere and hear English spoken'.

This is about Change, and the reluctance of people to adapt when they are already pressured by changes wrought in their lives beyond their control, as they see it.   When low-paid immigrants arrive to live 12 to a caravan in fields up the road, work all hours, no one asks who's paying the low wages to them?   When police raid sites for illegals, which English companies are required to account for them being there?   Cockle pickers?  When was that?  Ah gangmasters, no it was them, we didn't need to ensure that every UK firm using such labour sources had to show they had checked the eligibility of people in their workplaces, on their sites to be there.  Think of the cost, man.

UKIP - ostensibly about EU, but truth to tell, its dishonesty is that they won't admit they pander to an anti-immigrant subtext, which Cameron also knows infests his party as grass roots, and Labour hasn't been innocent over the decades.   Read any vox-pop response (eg facebook) where UKIP was mentioned, and it was clear the anti-immigrant issue was what they identified in UKIP, and where Cameron had to offer (mais oui)  EU in-out referendum, which is what gave him the tools to deflate UKIP and defeat Labour.

So, 24 months max to said referendum.   Cameron looks secure as he storms into Number Ten, them pesky UKIP seen off and the red tide stemmed (again).   Let's get on with our austerity agenda (and we broke the Lib Dem fag (as in Public School, Clegg Minor) which Cameron knew the minute he got the little tyke into his study in Downing House in Westminster College).

BUT .... as he contemplates the referendum he will need to find a way to offer it in such a way that those voting chappies and chapesses won't rumble him as he says "stay in EU".   No wonder Farrago is saying "I quit, well at least for a while" - he knows that Cameron is most unlikley to be able to square that circle.   Fall on sword noble Miliband, hapless Clegg Minor, but Nigel has brought out his trick panto sword.  Oooch ouch the pain, the pain.

For Cameron to convince, he has to believe that the EU empathy gene is really still there, that he can 'get a deal' from Europe's other elected leaders.  Failure comes at the price of the public's faith in the blue agenda.

Square the circle?  More like tetrahedroning the oval ellipsoid.

What none of these shysters want to admit is that they must know the amount of racist undertow that will flow and become a strong current.   It may sweep a lot before it.